This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 03:53 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 64 recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 39 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:43PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
An estimated 52,065 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- May 23, 2026 · score 63 · 11.0 km
How we know
Confirmed by 4 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 63 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 88% |
| Coordinates | 37.5343, -86.0208 |
| Nearest City | Elizabethtown (22 km) |
| Population Exposed | 52.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T03:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.003787df5dc771615a4543712f7d47a7 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Edmonson, KY; Grayson, KY; Hardin, KY; Hart, KY; Edmonson, KY; Grayson, KY; Hart, KY; Hardin, KY; Hart, KY; Larue, KY; Marion, KY; Nelson, KY; Washington, KY and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:43PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T23:53:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Louisville KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.003787df5dc771615a4543712f7d47a7f9037bfe.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ff6c737ff0a0a60694419af434658f8f9c36b098.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.eaf911cffee669919c9671badc6fd8e653953f81.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d38676956f9b90a1c435bdb169a21536315c23e1.002.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 62 |
| Spc Location | 3 WSW Leitchfield |
| Spc County | Grayson |
| Spc State | KY |
| Spc Comments | Mesonet station BLRK Leitchfield 3 W. (LMK) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_wind_37.16_-86.67_135","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1773630300000,"latitude":37.16,"longitude":-86.67},{"id":"spc_wind_37.48_-86.30_137","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1773631080000,"latitude":37.48,"longitude":-86.3},{"id":"spc_wind_37.46_-86.34_138","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1773631500000,"latitude":37.46,"longitude":-86.34}] |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Elizabethtown?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100, near Elizabethtown (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.